open politics prediction market

An open politics prediction market to assist decisions is required as part of the open politics web. It will resemble that of longnow.org or hsx.com or ideosphere.com and will probably operate on a nonprofit basis, with proceeds of successful predictions going to the faction, party or other group that sponsored those whose edits, votes and bets on the scenario made it occur.

As with the open politics time market, this will make it simple to find people of like ideology or goals who can be trusted to work with, and whose predictions can be relied on, on a more daily basis, say as contractors.