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predicted

The most mature set of guidelines for dealing with predicted (and thus future events) is from Wikipedia: refer link en: Wikipedia: Wikipedia: future event(external link).

See future event for the general guidelines. This article deals with living ontology's treatment of predicted events

A predicted event has several important characteristics that are relevant to open politics itself as a process:
  • who has predicted it
  • who benefits from the event occurring
  • who benefits from the event not occurring
  • who benefits from any anticipation or preparation for the event occurring
  • who could help cause the event to occur
  • who could help conceal the cause of the event
  • whether the event is actually a choice or a combination of choices as opposed to an "act of God?".
  • whether one can or should actively choose and work towards avoiding the event, as opposed to improving one's response to it, e.g. climate change could be seen as an inevitability, as an emergency response problem, or as a greenhouse gas control? problem.

Many events tend to be predicted in the context of taking a political position.

A prediction market? permits people or factions to commit to some profile of predicted events and gain some credibility for their power to predict them. This may be useful in sorting out various kinds of trolling.

This page describes living ontology and is CC-by-nc-sa by Efficient Civics Guild.



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